--Moved to Wiki--
http://www.novcov.com/wiki/index.php?title=SARS-COV-2
*** Notable Update *** for "Calculating probable infection rate":
The flaw of using R0 values for determining infection rates:
Basically, it is arbitrarily calculated without any set criteria..... which makes sense because every disease operates differently. We won't have a reliable R0 value till this pandemic passes.
"R0 is not a biological constant for a pathogen as it is also affected by other factors such as environmental conditions and the behaviour of the infected population. Furthermore R0 values are usually estimated from mathematical models, and the estimated values are dependent on the model used and values of other parameters. Thus values given in the literature make only sense in the given context and it is recommended not to use obsolete values or compare values based on different models.[11] Note also that R0 does not by itself give an estimate of how fast an infection spreads in the population."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
For now, we might be able to make some guesses using aggregated data:
wikipedia(not active):
2/11/2020 - - r0 =1.8 - 3.9
Lancet(old):
https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9.pdf
1/31/2020 - - r0=2.68
EuroSurvelilance:
https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
1/30/2020 - - r0= .8 - 5
Notes : zoonotic transmission dated Nov 20 - Dec 4
http://www.novcov.com/wiki/index.php?title=SARS-COV-2
*** Notable Update *** for "Calculating probable infection rate":
The flaw of using R0 values for determining infection rates:
Basically, it is arbitrarily calculated without any set criteria..... which makes sense because every disease operates differently. We won't have a reliable R0 value till this pandemic passes.
"R0 is not a biological constant for a pathogen as it is also affected by other factors such as environmental conditions and the behaviour of the infected population. Furthermore R0 values are usually estimated from mathematical models, and the estimated values are dependent on the model used and values of other parameters. Thus values given in the literature make only sense in the given context and it is recommended not to use obsolete values or compare values based on different models.[11] Note also that R0 does not by itself give an estimate of how fast an infection spreads in the population."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number
For now, we might be able to make some guesses using aggregated data:
wikipedia(not active):
2/11/2020 - - r0 =1.8 - 3.9
Lancet(old):
https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9.pdf
1/31/2020 - - r0=2.68
EuroSurvelilance:
https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
1/30/2020 - - r0= .8 - 5
Notes : zoonotic transmission dated Nov 20 - Dec 4
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