ACarl (@ACarl)

There is something that does not add up. If the objective is #peace, then why was one of the most contentious parts of the negotiations the demand that hostilities in #Lebanon also come to an end? Reports indicate that the U.S.-#Iran framework includes de-escalation in Lebanon. Yet almost immediately Israeli officials declared they would not withdraw from southern Lebanon and would continue to reserve the right to act independently. Defense Minister Israel #Katz stated plainly #Israel would remain in Lebanon, #Syria, and #Gaza regardless of the agreement. The Economic Confidence Model and the war cycle never suggested that 2026 would bring peace. Quite the opposite. This is a Panic Cycle year. The international #war cycle turns up into 2027, with 2028 bringing economic stress and civil unrest before the major geopolitical turning point into 2029. People keep searching for a treaty that ends the crisis. That is not how these cycles work. The danger comes when political leaders become prisoners of their own narratives. #Netanyahu has spent years presenting Iran as the defining threat of our time. Leaders who build their careers on war rarely become the architects of peace. That is why I remain skeptical. The greatest threat to this agreement may not come from #Tehran. It may come from those who never wanted a negotiated settlement in the first place. https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/war/netanyahus-war-is-not-over/ #Trump #US