Flavinkins (@Flavinkins)

Revisiting the 92 WHO “rejected” cases: Remember how they claim to test only 67 of these 92 cases (The actual searching process of all wuhan municipal health facilities is stated to be a part of “phase I study” for the WHO origins report, and begun in 08/2020. Yes. Even these 72253 respiratory disease records took all of the healthcare institutions in Wuhan at least two months to finish reviewing……), and they claim that blood samples taken in 01/2021 were all “negative”? https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2772148 According to a community random sampling study, the community-level seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies is ~4% over a sampling period of March-May 2020. A study looking specifically for antibodies randomly sampled in 14-15/04/2020 indicated that the then community antibody seroprevalence levels is 5.6%, all of which have IgG antibodies. 39.8% of these individuals have neutralizing antibodies. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7972311/ For follow-up studies, the total level of IgG antibody prevalence in these cases declined to 90% of original levels in June and October-December 2020 (e.g. close to the January 2021 sampling date), while the total prevalence of neutralizing antibodies did not decline at all. Binomial analysis using these 3 results gives a maximal probability that the claimed result is possible of 22.527% (just over 1/5) for neutralizing antibodies only, a median of 6.489% (1 in 15) for sampling period from March-May 2020 (most of which were sampled before the epidemic have completely ended in Wuhan), and a minimal of just 3.128% (slightly above 1 in 3). Neither of the 3 are plausible under the community seroprevalence of Wuhan as by 01/2021. China have at least 77.473% chance of being lying about the result of these “retrospective case searching efforts” in the “phase I studies”. In fact, not even the reviewing results of VPUE/NCIP reports originally reported into municipal and provincial NDRS systems would survive into the final WHO report dataset, leaving only 174 “VPUE” and “NCIP” reports as originally reported inside the National system. Reviewing efforts on other categories in the national system, which eventually lead to the SCMP leak of another unrelated 92 (completely different in term of timeline compared to the WHO phase I study results) cases, were shut down even earlier.