Matthew Bracken (@Matt_Bracken)
Posted
8 replies · 6 reposts · 31 likes
Handre @Handre A central bank digital currency is a leash with a settlement layer, not money. Every purchase you make lands in a government database in real time. Your coffee at 7:14am, your bar tab, the cash you slipped to your nephew. All of it timestamped, geolocated, permanent. The physical dollar bill in your wallet does not report to Washington. A CBDC does nothing else but report. That is the entire product. The Federal Reserve tried to sell this in its January 2022 discussion paper as "efficiency" and "financial inclusion," which is the language a locksmith would use while he installs a lock on the outside of your door. The programmability is the part they prefer you skip past. A CBDC lets the issuer set rules on the money itself. Your stimulus expires on March 31 if you don't spend it. Your fuel purchases cap at 40 liters this month because someone in a ministry decided your carbon budget. Your account freezes because you donated to the wrong trucker convoy, which is not hypothetical: Justin Trudeau froze bank accounts under the Emergencies Act in February 2022 using the clumsy old system. A CBDC removes the friction. No court order, no bank in between, just a flag flipped on a ledger the state owns outright. Luckily, this terrible idea will die because money is a market phenomenon that emerges from people choosing the most saleable good, and it survives only by trust. Carl Menger explained this in 1892, and nobody has refuted him since. You cannot decree trust into existence. Nigeria launched the eNaira in October 2021 with the full force of the central bank behind it. By late 2023, after two years and a cash-withdrawal crisis engineered to force adoption, less than 1 percent of Nigerians used it. They chose cash. They chose crypto. They chose anything but the surveillance coin. The state can build the rails. It can mandate, subsidize, and threaten. What it cannot do is make you want a wallet that a bureaucrat can empty, throttle, or expire on a Tuesday. People understand a cage when they see the bars, even when the salesman calls it convenience. The only question is who are the politicians dumb enough to die on this hill.