The Zman (@TheZBlog)

In 2016, the excuse was the polling did not pick up new voters. There was some truth to it, but there were a lot of bad omens in the Clinton campaign. If we had an independent media, they would have revealed those omens and maybe the pollsters would not have been so fearful to rethink their methods. Not to blow smoke up my own skirt, but I analyzed the Clinton vote by demographic and nailed her vote share six months before the election. It was not that hard to see she had a serious problem. This time, the lying from state media is more intense and more deranged, so it is impossible to have a read on this, other than to look at 2016 and see Trump is doing pretty much the same, if not a bit better in the key states. The wild card this time is the ballot stuffing.