Padraig Martin (@PadraigMartin)
Posted
72 replies · 99 reposts · 198 likes
Fulton County Georgia just indicted Trump - Cold Reality and Options All of the charges against Trump, including Georgia's sealed indictments, are absolute BS. I am not a fan of Trump, but I know he is being railroaded. That said, here is the cold reality of the situation: Blacks despise Trump with a hatred that is hard to explain. Fulton County is almost entirely black. They will convict Trump. In Georgia, that will immediately disqualify Trump for running for office in that state (Felony convicts are prohibited from running for office in Georgia). That means Trump immediately loses the electoral college, even if every other state allowed him to run (many have similar prohibitions against felons). There is no path because AZ, PA, and MI are Democrat controlled states that will ensure Dem victories in 2024 - no matter who runs for office. The only path to victory is the following: keep all of the 2020 Trump states, flip Georgia back to red, and take the only potential swing state left - Virginia. That is the mathematical reality. That is threading a needle. The only shot Trump has in Georgia is Governor Brian Kemp. After the trial, Kemp can pardon Trump in time to qualify him for the election (through the Georgia State Board of Pardons and Paroles process). Gov Kemp has shown his outright hatred for Trump twice - 2020 and 2022. In addition, Kemp and DeSantis have a very good cross border working relationship. The attacks on both Kemp and DeSantis will hang over any decision to pardon Trump - at least in time for an election. You don't have to like it. I am just stating facts. I think that which is happening to Trump is simply wrong on every level. But his chances of winning the presidency ended this evening. It really does not matter what happens in other states regardless of the primary. What you should take away from all of this is the following: Voting never mattered. The federal government is NOT your answer. Secession is truly the only way. You have no power in the current system. It is irrevocably broken and no one is coming to save you.