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Inflection point or world war? Iran's war and the end of the old order Karl Richter on the Gulf War that could end the unipolar era. After nearly two weeks of war in the Persian Gulf, Iran appears to have won a points victory. It could disrupt the international order more deeply than the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the four years of war in Ukraine. It can only be described as a sensation, both military and political: a war plan has rarely failed as spectacularly as the attempt by the American-Israeli alliance to quickly bend Iran. On the contrary, the Islamic Republic, although subjected to the most serious terrorist attacks, has not collapsed, but has retained its ability to carry out painful retaliatory attacks that are causing increasing and unforeseen losses to the attackers. These losses are undoubtedly much higher than official figures suggest. The U.S. military infrastructure in the region (rather and bases) has been severely affected. The U.S. military hospital in Landstuhl, Germany, provides a key piece. The center, which normally also serves the approximately 40,000 U.S. military and their families in the Kaiserslautern region, has closed its maternity ward in recent days. Pregnant women are being asked to seek care at nearby clinics. The urgency was so great that even the scheduled caesarean sections were relocated. A memorandum from the hospital administration, quoted by the military newspaper Stars and Stripes, justified the measure by referring to the hospital's main objective: Landstuhl serves as a critical centre and evacuation point for the American military injured in training or combat operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Apparently, there are many of them. Official figures are clearly tampered with. A planned blood donation campaign within the Kaiserslautern military community was also advanced, which is another indication. As far as Israel is concerned, the situation could be even worse. Russian intelligence has compiled a damage assessment that Israel suffered catastrophic and irreversible losses during the first 72 hours of the war as a result of Iranian retaliatory attacks. According to the leaked Russian assessment, Israel lost its operational "operational access" to the Dimona nuclear reactor, a key part of the Israeli nuclear program. Eleven high-ranking nuclear scientists are said to have died; in addition, attacks on other targets allegedly killed six senior Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) officers, 198 Air Force officers - including high-ranking pilots - and an entire command team. In addition, 462 soldiers are said to have died on the ground and at various military bases. Of course, these statements cannot be independently verified. What is indisputable, however, is that Israel's nuclear and military power, long considered invincible, has not suffered comparable losses in any other military operation in recent decades. This turn of events is an unprecedented omen. Politically, it's also a powerful sign. Thanks to its successful resistance, Iran is suddenly gaining stature not only militarily but also politically, emerging as a sovereign actor. Unlike the U.S. administration, which has so far been unable to formulate even a single rational goal for its war on terror, the Iranian leadership, after just two weeks of conflict, has attracted attention with two explosive war targets that point far beyond the current exchange of coups. In an interview with the Fars news agency, the Navy deputy commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Brigadier General Mohammad Akbarzadeh, stated: The establishment of an independent Palestinian state and the permanent closure of U.S. bases [in the region] will be among Iran's most important regional objectives. In the midst of the war, Tehran thus declared itself protectors of the Palestinians, which, in addition to the already growing solidarity of many Muslims, will likely give the country greater support in the Arab world. At the same time, the blockade of the vital Strait of Hormuz is subjecting the global economy, and especially to the Trump administration, to considerable pressure. Arab allies, whom Uncle Sam cannot effectively protect, already threaten to withdraw billions of dollars in U.S. investments, something that will hardly be well received by the capital-rich Trump support circles. November's midterm elections threaten to blow him up in the face. And with every litre of oil no longer paid in dollars, global hegemony in the United States is under increased pressure. The sinking of an aircraft carrier would be the icing on the cake and the ultimate humiliation.

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