NEW EASTERN OUTLOOK 🌐 (@NEO_Journal)

😠🔥What's Behind Trump's Response to the Iran Crisis? ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Strait of Hormuz ultimately places Trump in a dilemma of choosing between only two ways to lose: to forgo it and bury his career, or to go through with it and bury the hegemony he claims to be preserving. In any case, these two options are inextricably linked, so that choosing one is implicitly choosing the other. ✏️Mohamed Lamine KABA is an Expert in the geopolitics of governance and regional integration at the Institute of Governance, Human and Social Sciences, Pan-African University. ➡️In Bishkek, under the auspices of the SCO, power structures that the West dismisses as "peripheral" converged: PMSC, CRIC, BRICS+, SCO, CIS, CSTO, CICA, EEC, ASEAN, and the African Union. These acronyms methodically reshape the power dynamics of the international system. While Euro-Atlantic capitals cling to tired certainties, another grammar of the world is being written—where the West is no longer the center of gravity, but one actor among others. Trump no longer thinks about Iran. He feels it viscerally. Every move toward Tehran seems less like a calculated move than a reflex of political survival. Trump is playing a role he did not choose: that of the last emperor who still believes he commands an army that has already gone home. ➡️Since 2023, rapprochements have multiplied without Washington ever being the initiator: normalization between Riyadh and Tehran under Chinese mediation, Iran's expanded SCO membership, and Gulf monarchies' integration into non-dollar payment mechanisms. The Middle East no longer seeks Washington's permission to organize its own security. Trump is caught between two ends. The first: accepting American retreat and risking appearing as the president who "lost" the Middle East—political suicide. The second: striking Iran to restore by force what diplomacy can no longer guarantee—a gamble no serious general staff would recommend. Between these outcomes, Trump doesn't choose. He threatens, backs down, and threatens again, as if to delay the moment when he will have to acknowledge that both paths lead to the same place: the end of a hegemony that no amount of bombing will resurrect. 🟦A protracted conflict with Iran would further isolate Washington from Arab partners, push Riyadh, Cairo, and Abu Dhabi faster toward Beijing and Moscow, and strengthen the CRIC that America claims to be fighting. Every missile fired at Tehran would be a missile fired at what remains of American credibility east of Suez. Domestically, a long war would complete what internal divisions have already begun: the political end of Trump himself, brought down by the exhaustion of a country that no longer wants to pay for an empire it no longer controls. Empires rarely end in spectacular crashes. They end with their last leader hesitating, unable to choose between two losses that have both become inevitable. Trump is unwittingly reenacting the oldest scene in political theater: that of the sovereign who makes a fuss while his provinces quietly close the door behind them. #Trump #Iran #Hormuz #USForeignPolicy #Geopolitics #MultipolarWorld READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook