NEW EASTERN OUTLOOK 🌐 (@NEO_Journal)

🇹🇷🇮🇱🇺🇸Can the Conflict Between Türkiye and Israel Lead to the Fall of NATO? ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The stabilization of the Iran-Israel confrontation could well be the calm before the storm, only this time the storm would be between Israel and Türkiye. In this context, the question arises: how would such a conflict affect NATO? ✏️Alexander Svaranc is a Doctor of Political Science, Professor, Turkologist, and expert on Middle Eastern countries. ➡️Relations between Ankara and Tel Aviv are rapidly deteriorating. Erdoğan has openly supported Hamas, calling IDF actions "genocide" and comparing Netanyahu to Hitler. Ankara recalled its ambassador, imposed trade sanctions, and led efforts to have the Israeli prime minister placed on an international wanted list. Israel accused Türkiye of supporting Hamas and international terrorism. The culmination came with Israel's unexpected recognition of the Armenian genocide in June 2026. Israel views Sunni Türkiye as a more serious existential threat than Shi'a Iran. There are increasing calls in Turkish political circles to withdraw from NATO and seek new strategic partners. There are increasing calls in Turkish political circles to withdraw from NATO and seek new strategic partners, including Russia, China, and Iran. ➡️Israel is watching the advance of Neo-Ottomanism and Neo-Panturanism with alarm. In the Syrian theater, Israel seeks to prevent the deployment of Turkish air force bases near its borders—reinforcing positions in the Golan Heights, carrying out strikes in Syria, and supporting local Druze and Kurdish groups. An additional factor is the struggle over logistics routes—Israel seeks to redirect flows from India and the Persian Gulf through its own ports, contradicting Ankara's plans. In the South Caucasus, Israel is banking on establishing control over the Zangezur Corridor. At the core of the escalation lie issues of geopolitical and geoeconomic dominance in the Middle East. 🟦A glance at previous Middle Eastern conflicts confirms the high combat readiness of the IDF. Türkiye, which possesses the second-largest army in NATO, is betting on developing its own defense industry, but lags behind Israel in aviation—the lack of fifth-generation fighters caused by the US blocking F-35 deliveries significantly limits the Turkish Air Force. In Ankara, they are aware that in the event of conflict, Washington would provide direct military support to Tel Aviv. Even membership in the "Islamic NATO" does not guarantee Ankara real assistance from Pakistan or Saudi Arabia. Ultimately, NATO remains a structure whose agenda is largely determined by the interests of the Pentagon. Some experts entertain a radical scenario: the US might go as far as dismantling NATO to support Israel. More likely, Türkiye's isolation within the bloc will lead either to its voluntary withdrawal or forced expulsion. Erdoğan should seriously assess these risks: without a change in foreign policy course, Türkiye's security in the event of a large-scale conflict would be under threat. #Turkey #Israel #NATO #Geopolitics #MiddleEast #Erdogan #Netanyahu READ MORE ✅@NewEasternOutlook